July 23, 2010

  • <Yao Ming vs Rik Smits>


    Conclusion 1 : No “tall” men – those higher than 7-4 in NBA can win a championship.


    Conclusion 2 : Tall men have shorter NBA life than others, and depreciate much faster.


    Conclusion 3 : No tall men have ever been successful in NBA (with the known exception of Yao Ming)

    ———————–


    Here are the most famous tall men in the history of NBA :


    Bol (7-7), Muresan (also 7-7) and Bradley.  Can’t score at all.  Limited playing time.  No skills whatsoever.

    Ralph Sampson (7-4), one of the once twin towers of Houston (the other being Olajuwon) BEFORE his almost-career-ending injury


    The only famous tall man left on our list is Rik Smits Let me talk more about him.

    No many people would know him now, but he was once fairly famous. Not fully because of his skills – he can shot the ball pretty well (in comparison with other tall men) and his soft touch (interested parties can indeed watch this video to get a feel of his touch),  but also because of his famous or infamous teammate called Reggie Miller.

    But during Smits journey in NBA, he was NEVER a very true all star player.  All i can say is, he is a good player.

    According to NBA.com, these are Smits’ career statistics (figures in bracket in the first column was his age)

    CAREER AVERAGES
            REBOUNDS PER GAME 
      YEARTEAMGGSMPGFG%3P%FT%OFFDEFRPGAPGSPGBPGTOPFPPG
     88-89 (22)IND827124.9.517.000.7222.303.806.10.9.451.841.593.8011.7
     89-90 (23)IND828229.3.533.000.8111.604.606.201.7.552.061.744.0015.5
     90-91 (24)IND763822.2.485.000.7621.503.204.701.1.321.461.133.2010.9
     91-92 (25)IND745523.9.510.000.7881.704.005.601.6.391.351.763.1013.8
     92-93 (26)IND818125.6.486.000.7321.603.805.301.5.33.931.813.5014.3
     93-94 (27)IND787527.1.534.000.7931.704.506.202.0.631.051.943.6015.7
     94-95 (28)IND787830.5.526.000.7532.505.207.701.4.511.012.423.6017.9
     95-96 (29)IND636330.2.521.200.7881.905.006.901.7.33.712.543.6018.5
     96-97 (30)IND525229.2.486.250.7972.004.906.901.3.421.132.423.4017.1
     97-98 (31)IND736928.6.495.000.7831.705.206.901.4.551.211.843.3016.7
     98-99 (32)IND494925.9.490.000.8181.504.105.601.1.371.061.533.2014.9
     99-00 (33)IND797923.4.484.000.7391.203.905.101.1.251.271.373.2012.9
     Career86779226.6.507.115.7731.804.306.101.4.431.281.823.5014.8
     Playoff1049626.4.507.250.8291.403.805.201.3.49.871.784.0014.8
     All-Star1021.0.429.0001.0002.005.007.004.0.002.00.003.0010.0


     CAREER TOTALS


    There are several things worth mentioning :

    1. Except the second season (1989-90), Smits never played for all 82 games (even in the knockout season with 50 games, he only played 49). That said, out of a total 952 games, he played over 90% of them – which I guessed are the top amongst the tall men in NBA.

    2. But, if you will find that after the 1995-96 seasons, Smits’ score and number of games played decreased consistently. His highest scoring season happend when he was 29.  Actually, all of his playing statistics worsened since then (FG%, rebound, assist; but block shot statistics were still solid)

    3. On average, he never played over 31 mintues in all his seasons. Again, his playing time decreased since 28 or 29.



    And let’s look at Yao Ming’s statistics :

    CAREER SEASON AVERAGES
    YearTeamGGSMPGFG%3P%FT%OFFDEFRPGAPGSPGBPGTOPFPPG
    02-03HOU827229.00.4980.5000.8112.45.88.21.70.41.82.112.8013.5
    03-04HOU828232.80.5220.0000.8092.46.69.01.50.31.92.493.3317.5
    04-05HOU808030.60.5520.0000.7832.65.88.40.80.42.02.453.7218.3
    05-06HOU575734.20.5190.0000.8532.67.610.21.50.51.62.583.4222.3
    06-07HOU484833.80.5160.0000.8622.17.39.42.00.42.03.483.3125.0
    07-08HOU555537.20.5070.0000.8503.17.710.82.30.42.03.333.1122.0
    08-09HOU777733.60.5481.0000.8662.67.29.91.80.42.03.043.3419.7
    Career48147132.70.5250.2000.8322.56.79.31.60.41.92.713.2919.1
    All-Star6613.30.5000.0000.6671.03.04.01.30.20.30.501.337.0


    1. Yao Ming did not play in the last seaon (when he was 29) because of an injury.

    2. He never played all 82 games (except the second season, same as Smits). He only played 73% of the total game available (mainly because of the missed season). And you know what? According to Wikipedia, Yao’s life in name is characterised as “Initial years” and “Injury years”. So he is really plagued by injuries over the recent years.

    3. Actually, his scoring peak came much earlier than Smits – when he was 26.

    4. But Yao Ming is actually an All Star (7 times out of a total 7 season; selected but didn’t play in the last season). He also has Smits’ soft touch; can dribble. NBA second team (2 times); third team (3 times)

    5. Both Yao and Smits are foreign players.


    Conclusion : Yao Ming is only an upgraded version of Rik Smits. He will never win a champion, retire earlier than other NBA players, and he career peak should have passed.


Comments (2)

  • good point. But, the role of Smits and Yao … would be a bit different.

    at that time Smits was not the main attacking point of the team. After Rose had arrived, he is probably the 3rd point. thats why his score decreases.

    and i would like to add a point, that is, the defending attribute. As seen from the statistics, Yao’s contribution is a lot greater than that of Smits (esp. in rebounding). I started watching basketball when Pacers were very near to the point of getting the championships(00-01), and I would say that Yao’s strength is a lot better than Smits’s (i mean the anticipating strength of their defense). When Smits is facing Oneal or Olajuwon’s offense, it would be a 2:8 game, but when Yao’s facing Howard/Bynum, just 4:6 or even 50/50.

    That’s why I think even Yao is declining, he can also change his role to link the team up, and concentrate on defense, leave the rest to Kevin martin and Scola. Thats it. And this year Brad Miller can share his workload too. Champ would be too far away, but Western finals would be a possible goal to have.

    Btw, quietly, Heat sign back Arroyo. Another great adding to the bench. Just mad ( but what if they cant get the champ this season?)

  • @my_wenji - 

    um…i don’t really think Yao has good defense… wahahaahaha. anyway i take your point of scoring focus. Thanks.

    Yes, Heat signed a lot of 3/4 tier NBA players or worn-out all stars. Very crazy crazy roster. But the question is what if they achieve less than expected before the all star? Btw, I hate less LeBron (even like him a bit) after his brave move to Miami.

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